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By Chris Bevan
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BBC Sport's 5livetennis Tweeting from the O2 Arena:
"ATP officials changed their minds about qualification scenarios three times in an hour! Shocking that organisers don't know what's going on...they've finally settled on the scenario they originally announced."
2038: Anyway, enough about the maths (for now, and hopefully for the rest of the night!). Let's look forward to what is a mouth-watering showdown between Federer, the world number one, and Del Potro, who is ranked fifth. The Argentine has only won one of their seven encounters but what a win that was - a five-set epic in the final of this year's US Open that gave the 21-year-old his first Grand Slam title. More of the same tonight please... oh, and the players are due on court at around 2045 GMT.
2036: Andy Murray on playing Fernando Verdasco knowing that a three-set win might not be enough to put him into the semi-finals: "It was tough, but I needed to win the match. I knew if I won the match then there was only one way I couldn't go through, and that was Del Potro winning in three sets and then I think it would go down to the games won. I just had to focus on winning and then there's a very slim chance of me going out."
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BBC Sport's Piers Newbery Tweeting from the O2 Arena:
"Murray on the qualification system - 'I don't know why everyone makes it sound so complicated. The people that go through deserve to'."
2028: Don't understand who will go through should Del Potro beat Federer in three sets? Let me explain (or, more accurately, let me allow my colleague Matt Braithwaite explain). Here's the current win-loss standings between the three men in contention, and their win percentage: Federer W32 L22 (59.259%) Murray W44 L43 (50.575%) Del Potro W27 L31 (46.550%)
What does that mean? A three sets win by Del Potro, with a winning margin by fewer than five games means Fed and Murray are through. A three sets win by JMDP with a margin of five to nine games puts Del Potro and Fed through (UNLESS two sets go to tie-breaks, in which case JMDP has to win the other set 6-0 for that to apply). And, if Del Potro wins in three sets by 10 games or more, then he and Murray go through.
2026: Here's the lowdown then (deep breath): Any win for Federer means he and Murray are through. A straight sets win for Del Potro means he and Murray are through. A three-set win for Del Potro means we go down to percentage of games won. (More on that in a minute).
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2024: In case you missed all the excitement earlier, Andy Murray's three-set win over Fernando Verdasco means the British number one will have to wait until the end of tonight's match to find out whether he has reached the semi-finals of the ATP World Tour Finals. It's fair to say there was a bit of confusion over what result will send Murray through from Group A but, luckily, that appears to have been cleared up. My head still hurts though.
2020 GMT: Evening all. After the way things have gone so far today, don't be surprised if Roger Federer and Juan Martin del Potro come out on court at the O2 Arena wielding calculators rather than tennis racquets - like you and I, they could well end up needing them...
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