Sunday, May 2, 2010

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So you love making college basketball picks and can't help betting a few of your own NBA picks and NCAAB picks every week. You know you can only follow so many teams, so you limit college hoops picks to mismatches, overs/unders on two high or low scoring teams, or occasional lines you spot that call out some oversight by the sports book. You think you have enough info and time invested to follow 30 college teams plus make your college and NBA picks.

You only bet teams you have actually watched play extensively. You know won, loss records. You know more than a little something about team talent. You definitely know who lost their best players from prior year stars. You know about the different levels of talent in different conferences and how cross conference play can create mismatches. You know the players considered sure things for all conference, those ranked nationally, a lot of their strengths and weaknesses. You know about opposing defenses. You have even got a fair handle on most of the team morale issues and you know the sports rumors.

Further you keep up with all of these things and are constantly trying to improve your overall college sports picks and general ability to predict winning teams. You make and follow many college hoops picks that you don't bet and analyze those results to examine where you went wrong and where you predicted correctly. You have diligently budgeted daily time, and closely watch the news updates to stay on top of anything that might influence the outcome of games you are betting. You don’t try to second guess why you win, but you do try to analyze if the game was won because of factors you anticipated.

Unless you feel really confident about a given college basketball bet, you simply do not bet the game; you list it in your predictions, listing the reasons you favor one team over the other and review the outcome to see if what you predicted came to pass.

You track your winning college basketball picks by both games bet and games predicted. You have even seen winning percentages climb for your games bet over your games predicted. Now you are gaining confidence and would like to take the next step to help yourself become an actual serious sports handicapper. You have now taken Step One.

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